TRX Price Prediction: Can It Reach $1? Analyzing the Path Forward

#TRX

• Bullish Technical Convergence: Price trading above the 20-day MA and testing the upper Bollinger Band, coupled with a converging MACD, suggests building upward momentum and a potential short-term trend reversal.
• Positive Institutional Catalyst: The launch of TRX options on Deribit is a material development that enhances institutional access, liquidity, and market maturity, providing a fundamental tailwind.
• Long Road to $1: While short-term prospects are improving, a price target of $1 requires gains exceeding 220% and is a long-term ambition dependent on broader crypto market strength and significant ecosystem growth, not just current technical signals.

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Shows Bullish Momentum Above Key Moving Average

According to BTCC financial analyst Michael, TRX is currently trading at $0.3094, which is notably above its 20-day moving average of $0.2946. This positioning above the MA suggests underlying strength. The MACD, while still negative at -0.0104 for the signal line and -0.0082 for the MACD line, shows a narrowing histogram at -0.0022, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a potential trend reversal. The price is also testing the upper Bollinger Band at $0.3098, with the middle band at $0.2946 and lower band at $0.2794. A sustained break above the upper band could signal an acceleration of the current uptrend. The convergence of price above the MA and approach to the upper Bollinger Band paints a cautiously optimistic short-term picture.

Market Sentiment: Bullish Catalysts Gather for TRX

BTCC financial analyst Michael points to several news-driven factors supporting a positive outlook. The headline 'TRX Eyes Bullish Breakout Above $0.30' aligns with the current technical test of that level and reinforces trader psychology. The launch of TRX options on Deribit, a major institutional derivatives platform, is a significant development. It expands access for sophisticated traders and can lead to increased liquidity and price discovery, a net positive. While the note about altcoins outperforming ethereum introduces broader market uncertainty, it also highlights the potential for capital rotation into assets like TRX. Overall, news sentiment complements the technical picture by highlighting growing institutional access and market attention.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

TRX Eyes Bullish Breakout Above $0.30 Amid Reversal Signals

TRON (TRX) shows signs of a potential trend reversal after breaking above a descending trendline that had capped its price action since August 2025. The cryptocurrency, which rallied from April to August 2025 before entering a downtrend, now faces a critical test at the $0.30 level. A daily close above this threshold would confirm bullish momentum, with analysts eyeing $0.33-$0.335 as the next resistance zone.

Market observers note the $0.367 level—where exponential moving averages converge—could serve as additional resistance if the breakout holds. The token’s former all-time high of $0.381 remains the ultimate target for bulls. Technical indicators suggest balanced momentum, with the RSI hovering near 53 after retreating from overbought territory.

Risk management remains paramount. Failure to hold $0.30 could trigger a retest of support between $0.276-$0.28. Trading volumes during the breakout retest will prove decisive in determining whether TRX can sustain its upward trajectory.

TRON Welcomes TRX Options Launch on Deribit, Expanding Institutional Trading Access

TRON has marked a significant milestone with the introduction of TRX options on Deribit, facilitated by Coinbase. This strategic move enhances the ecosystem's market development, leveraging Deribit's reputation as a premier derivatives platform for professional traders globally.

Eligible users now gain access to TRX options featuring diverse expiry structures—two daily, two weekly, one monthly, and one quarterly. This flexibility empowers traders to refine timing and execution strategies, bridging the gap between TRON and sophisticated financial markets.

The listing underscores TRON's deepening integration into global digital asset frameworks. Options trading elevates participation beyond spot markets, offering institutional players tools for hedging, volatility management, and structured risk—critical for professional portfolios.

4 Altcoins Outperform Ethereum in 2026 Amid Market Uncertainty

Smart money is rotating into smaller-cap cryptocurrencies with tangible utility as Ethereum struggles to maintain momentum. Four altcoins are capturing institutional and retail interest with specialized use cases and independent price action.

Digitap ($TAP) leads with a live omnichannel banking platform featuring physical debit cards and deflationary tokenomics. Avalanche (AVAX) continues gaining traction as the preferred blockchain for institutional tokenization. TRON (TRX) maintains dominance in low-cost stablecoin transfers, while Sui (SUI) emerges as a high-throughput Layer 1 for decentralized finance.

Ethereum faces technical headwinds after failing to hold the $3,280 support level. The asset now consolidates between $3,080-$3,120 with weak volume on recovery attempts. Market technicians note a volatility squeeze forming—a breakout above $3,160 would signal bullish continuation, while losing $3,080 could trigger a test of $3,000 support.

Will TRX Price Hit 1?

Based on the current technical setup and market developments, a move to $1 for TRX in the near term represents an extremely ambitious target, requiring a gain of over 220% from the current ~$0.309 level. While the short-term indicators are turning positive, such a massive rally would need sustained, powerful catalysts far beyond the current landscape.

The technical analysis shows promising signs for continued upward movement, but resistance levels will mount. The fundamental news is encouraging, particularly the institutional onboarding via Deribit options. However, reaching a $1 price point is a long-term proposition contingent on massive adoption of the TRON network, significant increases in total value locked (TVL), and a sustained bull market across the entire cryptocurrency sector.

Key price levels to watch in the shorter term are:

In conclusion, while the path to $1 is not visible in the immediate charts, the current bullish reversal signals and positive news flow suggest TRX could be entering a phase of appreciation. Investors should focus on the progression through nearer-term resistance levels rather than the distant $1 milestone.